November 21, 2019

The Eternal Season - Sedge's 2019 Iowa Football Game Notes, Week 13: Illini @ Hawkeyes

Sedge's Hawkeye Football Game Notes - 2019 Edition
Iowa’s Record: 7-3, 4-3 Big Ten, 3-1 B1G West 
Iowa’s Rankings:
AP: votes #19, 493 points
Coaches:  #20, 434 points
College Football Playoff: 17th
*Times Eastern

August 31st, Miami (Ohio) @ Iowa, WIN 38-14
September 7th, Rutgers @ Iowa, WIN 30-0
September 14th, Iowa @ Iowa State, WIN 18-17
September 21st, Bye Week #1
September 28th, Middle Tennessee State @ Iowa, WIN 48-3
October 5th, Iowa @ Michigan, Loss 10-3
October 12th, Penn State @ Iowa, Loss 17-12
October 19th, •Purdue @ Iowa, WIN 26-20
October 26th, Iowa @ •Northwestern, WIN 20-0
November 2nd, Bye Week #2
November 9th, Iowa @ •Wisconsin, Loss 24-22
November 16th, •Minnesota @ Iowa, WIN 23-19
November 23rd, •Illinois @ Iowa, 12:00 pm, BTN
November 29th (Friday), Iowa @ •Nebraska 2:30 pm, BTN

•Ten West Division Game

Scouting next opponent
Nebraska @ Maryland, 3:30 pm, BTN

*Wondering which BTN channel we are on? Click, enter, find.
 November 23rd, #19 Iowa Hawkeyes 7-3, 4-3 Big Ten, 3-1 B1G West v. Illinois Fighting Illini, 6-4, 4-3 Big Ten, 2-2 B1G West

Previous Meetings: 64, Illinois leads 38-24-2
Last Meeting: 2018 Hawkeyes 63 Illini 0

Kinnick Color of the Week: Senior Day in Iowa City.  Hawkeye Colors

Current Line: Iowa -11

Stanley Passing TD Count  14, (season record 27) 
Stanley Career Passing TD Count (record 74 Chuck Long), 
Stanley career to date 66

Turnover Margin: +4,  B1G #5 FBS #32

Interceptions:  8 B1G #7, FBS #60

Hawkeye Stat Pack - 2019 through week 9
Total   372.6 Pass 235.6  Rush 137.0  Scoring 24.0
B1G    #9             #7              #10                 #11
FBS    #91     #65             #97                 #100
Total   303.1  Pass 196.6 Rush 106.5     Scoring 12.4
B1G    #4             #6              #5                  #2
FBS    #12           #28            #16                 #5

Minnesota     9-1, 6-1 B1G, 3-1 B1G West #11 AP
Wisconsin   8-2, 5-2 B1G, 3-1 B1G West #14 AP
Iowa                         7-3, 4-3 B1G, 3-1 B1G West #19 AP
Illinois              6-4, 3-3 B1G, 2-2 B1G West
Nebraska             4-6, 2-5 B1G, 2-3 B1G West
Purdue              4-6, 3-4 B1G, 2-3 B1G West
Northwestern   2-8, 0-6 B1G, 0-4 B1G West

Week 12: Rodents

Ok, the first the good.  A 13-0 lead in the 1st, (the one on a missed set on the extra point, not Duncan’s fault).  But then the bad, only 3 points after halftime.  Hawks could have put the game away with a couple TDs there.  Instead it came down to the end.

But what an end!  With Hawkeye fans dreading the thought of the Rodents putting together a game winning drive, the Iowa defense held serve.  Back to back sacks of Morgan, the 2nd by Epenesa the Younger, knocked Duncan out of the game with the Rodents facing a 3rd and 21.  That pass by the backup was no good, and on 4th and 21, he tried to go deep, but he hung the ball up and Moss picked it off for the only turnover of the game.  Also, the Hawkeye D only gave the Rodents 63 net rushing yards (on 30 attempts) so that was a good job there.  

In keeping Floyd home for the 5th straight season, the Hawks may have dealt a blow to the Rodents chance at the West.  This week they play the Mildcats.   And should win.  The Badgers play Purdue.  Should win.  But then if the Badgers beat the Rodents in week 14, the Badgers would win the West.  Both teams having two losses, but Badgers head to head over the Rodents.  

So with the Hawks tendency in this game to throw to open up the run, we have great news on the two deep above - Brandon Smith looks to be back on the field this week.  Thus making the passing game harder to defend.  

And also of note, Goodson, his first start, and his 94 yards lead the day for the Hawks.  He appears to be the most talented of the tailbacks, which is saying something for the freshman.  Look for him to take another step forward this week.  

The Hawks took Floyd (back) to the trophy room, and then turned their focus to the next border rival.  Who just happens to be on a 4 game winning streak.  Yes, Illinois.

WEEK 13: Illini

More about that later.  What smoke and mirrors has Lovie been able to do there in east central Illinois?

They are lead by a junior QB who is a Michigan transfer, Peters, #18.  To date, 114 for 207, (55.1%) for 1,486 yards, with 16 TDs and 5 interceptions.  Against Rutgers he ran for 41 yards, but he is not in there to run the ball, he is to throw it.  

Catching those passes, first is Imatorhebhe, #9, he is 6’2 215, so a big threat on the outside. He has 29 snags for 598 and 9 TDs.  Then soph Navarro, who has 18 for 232 and 1 TD.  Their top tight end Barker #87 has 14 catches for 209 and 3 TDs.  

Running the ball, Corbin, #2, a senior.  To date, 116 tugs, for 606 and 6 TDs.  He has 3 catches for 28 yards.  Then Brown, #25, also a senior.  To date, 83 for 461 and 4 TDs.

These are the guys the Hawk defense must take away.  With a QB hitting 55 percent of his passes, it will present chances to snag some, if he must pass.  

All right, so how did the Illini reach bowl eligibility?

In week 1, they hosted Akron, and acted like a Big 10 team.  Winning 42-3.  One Win.

Then in week 2, out to our neck of the woods to face UConn,  The Huskies jumped out to a 13-0 lead, but then Illinois got 24 in the 2nd, and then held on to start 2-0 31-23.   That, the first Illinois non-con road win - in 12 years.  Ouch.

But then in week 3, they hosted Eastern Michigan.  Illinois would get a TD with 1:44 left to tie the game at 31, but then EMU went on an 8 play 68 yard drive, and got a 24 yard field goal as the clock hit zero, dropping the Illini 34-31.  Illini go 2-1 on the non-con.

They started the Big 10 by hosting the Huskers.  At the 5:40 mark of the 3rd, Illinois was up 35-21 - but then the Huskers woke up, and got 3 TDs over the next 15 minutes, to win it 42-38.  Illinois had dropped two in a row.

Then of course the Rodents, losing 40-17.

Then Michigan, and another loss, 42-25.

But then, number 6th Badgers paid a visit.  As mentioned in the notes for that game, Illinois got two 4th quarter turnovers and shocked the Badgers at the buzzer 24-23.

On that high emotion, they came out and housed Purdue, 24-6.  A two game winning streak.

Oh look, Rutgers!  38-10 Illini.  3 in a row.   Then on the road to face Sparty.

At the 10:49 mark of the 3rd, the Spartans got a field goal to take a 31-10 lead.  And then, the Illini work up.  Getting 4 touchdowns in the 4th quarter, at 14:48, 11:06, 4:53, then after a Sparty field goal at 3:17, one more TD with just 5 seconds left - and Illinois had stunned the Spartans to win their 4th in a row, 37-34.  That was two weeks ago, the Illini were on the bye last week.

Sitting at 6-4 the Illini have had this game circled on the calendar.  I guess 63-0 in their place last year will do that.  
But just look at all the points they have given up.  They allow 25.7, more than double the Iowa defense.  They also allow 196 on the ground, so look for the Hawks to get the pound and ground going Saturday.  The Illini might be pissed about last year, but it won’t matter much when the Hawks punch them in the mouth Saturday.  

Some in the boards seem worried that the Hawks might have a let down after munching on Golden Rodents last week.  I don’t see it.  

We are a generation removed from Bruce Pearl getting the Ilini hoops team into deep trouble, which took the Iowa Illini rivalry up several notches.  Then Nick Bell in 1992.   Fact is, Illinois has not beaten the Hawks in Iowa City since 1999 - Kirk’s first year.  Another fact, the Hawks have won 10 of the last 11 against Illinois.  

Sorry Lovie, but smoke and mirrors are not going to work against the Iowa defense.  They hold the running game Illini to 50 net, as Iowa runs for 185 behind Goodson’s best game yet.  Nate gets 4 more TD passes on his quest to unseat Long.  Hawks 44, Illini 16.  Oh, and Illinois, your mascot is still banned.  Love, Iowa.

Go Hawks!!!


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