October 24, 2019

The Eternal Season - Sedge's 2019 Iowa Football Game Notes, Week 9: Hawkeyes @ Mildcats

Sedge's Hawkeye Football Game Notes - 2019 Edition
Iowa’s Record: 5-2, 2-2 Big Ten, 1-0 B1G West 
Iowa’s Rankings:
AP: votes #20, 347 points
Coaches:  #19, 373 points
College Football Playoff:
*Times Eastern

August 31st, Miami (Ohio) @ Iowa, WIN 38-14
September 7th, Rutgers @ Iowa, WIN 30-0
September 14th, Iowa @ Iowa State, WIN 18-17
September 21st, Bye Week #1
September 28th, Middle Tennessee State @ Iowa, WIN 48-3
October 5th, Iowa @ Michigan, Loss 10-3
October 12th, Penn State @ Iowa, Loss 17-12
October 19th, •Purdue @ Iowa, WIN 26-20
October 26th, Iowa @ •Northwestern, 12:00 pm, ESPN2
November 2nd, Bye Week #2
November 9th, Iowa @ •Wisconsin, TBD
November 16th, •Minnesota @ Iowa, TBD
November 23rd, •Illinois @ Iowa, TBD
November 29th (Friday), Iowa @ •Nebraska 2:30 pm, BTN

•Ten West Division Game

Scouting next opponent
Badgers @ Buckeyes, 12:00 noon, FOX

*Wondering which BTN channel we are on? Click, enter, find.
 October 26th, #20 Iowa Hawkeyes 5-2, 2-2 Big Ten, 1-0 B1G West @ Northwestern Wildcats, 1-5, 0-4 Big Ten, 0-2 B1G West
Previous Meetings: 80, Iowa leads 50-27-3
Last Meeting: 2018  Hawkeyes 10 Mildcats 14 (3 game losing streak

Kinnick Color of the Week: Half a home game in Chicago.  Go with Hawkeye colors.

Current Line: Iowa -10.5 

Stanley Passing TD Count  9, (season record 27) 
Stanley Career Passing TD Count (record 74 Chuck Long), 
Stanley career to date 61

Turnover Margin: +1,  B1G #8 FBS #54

Interceptions:  5 B1G #9, FBS #66

Hawkeye Stat Pack - 2019 through week 7
Total   405.6 Pass 256.6  Rush 149.0  Scoring 25.0
B1G    #7             #4              #9                 #11
FBS    #70     #48            #88               #90
Total   275.0  Pass 183.9 Rush 91.1     Scoring 11.5
B1G    #3             #7              #8                  #4
FBS    #10           #22            #8                  #5

Minnesota     7-0, 4-0 B1G, 3-0 B1G West #17 AP
Nebraska             4-2, 2-1 B1G, 2-0 B1G West
Iowa                         5-2, 2-2 B1G, 1-0 B1G West #20 AP
Wisconsin   6-1, 3-1 B1G, 1-1 B1G West #13 AP
Illinois              3-4, 1-3 B1G, 1-2 B1G West
Purdue              2-5, 1-3 B1G, 0-2 B1G West
Northwestern   1-5, 0-4 B1G, 0-2 B1G West

Week 8: Purdue

Well that was a bit closer than we would have preferred.  But, a losing streak broken.  And the hands team got live fire experience getting two onside kicks.  Could be beneficial as the season goes on.  

But then shortly after the Hawks went 1-0 in the Big 10 West - the Illini shocked the Badgers 24-23 with a field goal as time expired.  And suddenly, the door to the West title swung open a little bit more.  

But we worry about the Badgers after the bye week. Up next, a 3 game losing streak we have to break.  From a team that is a complete train wreck in 2019.  But like Iowa State, if they can just beat Iowa, their season is made.  Hello Mildcats, we are coming to Chicago.  And bringing our defense.  

WEEK 9: Northwestern

You recall that the Mildcats won the West last year, and they had designs to do it again, only they graduated most of the players that made that possible, and their replacements leave a bit to be desired.  

The Mildcats started out with a marquee matchup, Big 10, Pac 10, mashup visiting Stanford, who was ranked #25 at the time.  But the Cats offense could not do much, and they fell 17-7.  Stanford is now 3-4 on the season.

In week two they played and beat UNLV, 30—14.  That 30 the high water mark for the Mildcat offense this season.  

Then the Cats started the Big 10 (they play UMASS for their 3rd non con on November 6th) and it has not gone well for them.  

In order, MSU 31-10 then #8 Badgers 24-15, Huskers 13-10, and then a week ago hosted #4 OSU and that was 52-3.  

And now the Hawks come calling.  Sorry Mildcats.

They have used two QBs primary so far, and both are the mobile type.  First, sophomore Johnson, #15, who has 367 passing yards, with 1 TD, and 4 interceptions.   Bad ratio.  He has had some knee issues, he is probable this week.

Then there is Smith, #11, a junior.  He has 315 passing yards, with 1 TD, and 5 interceptions.  Suffice to say, if the Hawkeye defense can stop these mobile QBs from running, we should be able to feast on their poor passing ability.  

The tailback with the most yardage is a freshman, Anderson, #6.  He is 5’11 190, so more of a quick back than a bull rusher.   So far he has 87 carries for 405 yards, (4.5) and 3 TDs.  As with the QBs, the Hawks will need to shut him down, making the QBs put it up.  
Cleary a lot of their passes are not finding the wideouts hands, of the ones that do, Lees (junior, #19, 6’0 201) has the most catches,  22 for 158, but no receiving TDs.  Most of their passes are either to wideouts or running back, their top tight end has just 3 catches for 16 yards.

Let’s look at the numbers.  Iowa allows 11.6 points a game.  Mildcats only score 12.5.  The Cats allow 25.2.  That is how you get to have just 1 win in week 9.

Other numbers of note - Mildcats allow 165 rushing yards per game.  So look for the Hawks to pound and ground early.  

One note, Smith, who left the game with a few minutes left in the 4th, apparently has needed minor surgery, and will be out about 4 weeks.  So the Iowa passing attack will miss his big play ability.  Perhaps some more Oliver Martin this week?

And another note, Duncan now leads the country with his 17 made field goals.  While that is good, going forward Hawkeye offense, who bout some more TDs instead?  

These are not your same Mildcats with a good QB and good tailbacks.  Now past the halfway point, and the numbers do not lie.  Hawk defense snags 3 Cat passes and the Hawks have an easier time in the half home of Chicago.  Hawkeyes 31 Mildcats 13.

Go Hawks!!!


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