October 18, 2018

The Eternal Season - Sedge's 2018 Hawkeye Football Game Notes, Week 8: Maryland @ Iowa

Sedge's Hawkeye Football Game Notes - 2018 Edition
Iowa’s Record: 5-1, 2-1 Big Ten, 1-1 B1G West 
Iowa’s Rankings:
AP: 19th (266 votes)
Coaches: 22nd (218 votes)
College Football Playoff:
*Times Eastern

September 1st, Northern Illinois, WIN 33-7
September 8th, Iowa State, WIN 13-3
September 15th, Northern Iowa, WIN 38-14
September 22nd, •Wisconsin, Loss 28-17
October 6th, @ •Minnesota, WIN 48-31
October 13th, @ Indiana, WIN 42-16
October 20th, Maryland, 12:01 pm, ESPN2, Homecoming
October 27th, @ Penn State, 3::30 pm, ABC/ESPN
November 3rd, @ •Purdue, TBD
November 10th, •Northwestern, TBD
November 17th, @ •Illinois, TBD
November 23rd (Friday), •Nebraska, 12:00 pm, FOX

•Big Ten West Division Game

December 1st, 2018
2018 Big Ten Title Game
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis  

Scouting next opponent
Penn State @ Indiana, 3:30 pm, ABC

*Wondering which BTN channel we are on? Click, enter, find.
 October 20th, v Maryland Terrapins 4-2,  2-1 Big 10, 1-1 B1G East
Previous Meetings: 2, series tied 1-1
Last Meeting: 2015, Terrapins 15 Hawkeyes 31

Kinnick Color of the Week:

Current Line: Iowa -12

Stanley Passing TD Count (record 27) 15

Turnover Margin: +2,  B1G #6 FBS #45

Interceptions: 8, B1G #4, FBS #18

Hawkeye Stat Pack - 2018 season to date
Total   411.8 Pass 256.2  Rush 155.7  Scoring 31.8
B1G    #7            #5                #9                #5
FBS    #61     #44              #86              #53
Total   282.0  Pass 200.5 Rush 81.5     Scoring 16.5
B1G    #2             #4              #2                  #2
FBS    #5             #37            #3                  #13
Wisconsin   4-2, 2-1 B1G, 2-0 B1G West
Northwestern   3-3, 3-1 B1G, 2-0 B1G West
Iowa                         5-1, 2-1 B1G, 1-1 B1G West
Purdue             3-3, 2-1 B1G, 2-1 B1G West
Minnesota     3-3, 0-3 B1G, 0-1 B1G West
Illinois             3-3, 1-2 B1G, 0-1 B1G West
Nebraska             0-6, 0-4 B1G, 0-3 B1G West
WEEK 7: Hoosiers

Well teams might want to quit scheduling the Hawks for the homecoming games!  Back to back road wins, back to back sad Homecoming fans.

When we wrote that Indiana had not faced any good tight ends in practice, we did not quite think the Iowa tight ends would slice and dice the Hoosier defense as they did.  Fant, 4 for 102, with a long of 58, and 1 TD, and Hockenson 4 for for 197, a long a 58, and 2 TDS.  Of those 8 tight end catches, 3 touchdowns (to outscore Indiana), and the other 5 catches netted Hawkeye 1st downs.  Feel free to keep that up boys.

Those were just (just) half of the passing TDs that Nate would have on the day.  

Smith, 3 for 43, a long of 23, he continues to progress and is becoming more of a weapon as the season goes on.

Easley 4 for 28, a long of 16, and 1 TD, Sargent 2 for 20, with a long of 21 (the other stuffed for -1), Young 1 for 11 and 1 TD, Kelly 1 for 4, and 1 TD,  Ross 1 for 3, and ISM 1 for 2.  But Ross did get dinged up in this one and is out for the next week or two.  

That all added up to 21 of 33 for Stanley, with 6 tds, and 1 interception.  Of note, with his now year plus of experience, he is better able to read the presnap reads the defense gives to him.  In particular those long passes to the tight ends, Indiana blitzed, and that left the lethal tight ends one on one, and no one on the Hoosier defense could stay with them, obviously.  So Nate is seeing what the defense gives him, and is able to change plays on the fly to attack the weak spots.  No reason to think the passing game won’t continue to get better each week now.  

Oh, and Nate was there, throwing deep passes down the field, as the clock slipped under one minute, with Iowa leading by 4 touchdowns.  New Kirk, keep attacking, always.

Per usual, the Iowa defense made it very tough on the Hoosiers, just giving them a net 67 on the ground, and only an average of 6.3 yards completed on the passes the Hoosiers did catch (Iowa got 2 of them this week).  Another great effort by the Iowa D, who held Ramsey to just 11 yards on 9 attempts rushing, and they sacked him twice.   

So the Hawks took care of business on the road, and now head back to the friendly confines of Kinnick Stadium, for our own Homecoming game.

Week 8: Terrapins

This brings us to the rubber match with the Terps, as the series sits at a game apiece.  

Back in August, their coach. DJ Durkin, was suspended indefinitely as an investigation into a toxic culture of bullying, name calling, and just general mayhem was alleged.  He is still not back as the investigation has dragged on longer than almost everyone thought it would, and in his place is interim coach Matt Canada.

And back in May, they lost offensive lineman McNair, who collapsed on the practice field and died two weeks later, the cause, heatstroke.  So the team could not wait to get the offseason behind them and start the season.

Let’s start with a look at their season, to see what we can learn.

They started out hosting Texas,  who as the season started was ranked #23.  Maryland surprised Texas at their place last year, so the Longhorns were looking for a bit of revenge.

This was a back and forth game, at the end of the 3rd, the Longhorns had a 29-24 lead.  But then about 2 minutes into the 4th, the skies opened up with major thunderstorms, and the game was delayed by 86 minutes.

After the break, the Longhorns came out very flat, and the Terps were able to score the last 10 points to win the game 34-29.  Texas has gone on to a 6-1 record, and a current ranking of #7 in the country.

In week two, the Terps went on the road to Bowling Green (Ohio).  Here, BG had a 14-10 lead at the half.  But then the Maryland running game came to life, and they would score the next 35 points, to win it 45-14.

Then to finish up the non-con, Temple came calling.  The Owls would stun the Terps with a 78 yard pick-6, en route to a 35-14 win, to send Maryland to a 2-1 record entering the Big Ten.

As you recall from two weeks back, the Terps hosted the Rodents to open the B1G.  And the Terps rolled to a 42-13 victory.  The Rodents are now 0-3 in the Big Ten, but hey, the get the winless Cornhuskers this week!

A week later, Maryland to the Big House to face the Wolverines.   Maryland had a 7-3 lead at the end of 1, thanks to a 98 yard kickoff return for a score.  

But Michigan would score the next 24 points, and the teams would trade scores in the 4th, to a 42-21 Michigan win.

Then last week, Maryland hosted Rutgers, in a matchup of the two newest Big Ten members.  

Well Rutgers still has a ways to go, they tossed 5 interceptions to the Terps, who cruised to a 34-7 win.

So let’s take a look at the players who are driving the Terps on the season.

At QB, a freshman, Hill, #11.  He is 6’2 and 234, so another big QB.  To date, 55 for 103 (just 53.4%) for 654 yards, with 6 TDs, 2 interceptions, and he has been sacked 9 times.   He may try to run once in a while, but the longest yardage he has on the season is just 10 yards, so he is in there to throw it.  Of course with that low completion percent, there will be several chances for the Hawks to snag to pics. How bout a pic-six this week boys?

The top tailback is senior Johnson, #24.  He is 5’10, 212.  To date, 54 carries for 435, with 3 TDs.  And he has 4 catches of 20 yards total.

Then there is McFarland, #5, a freshman.  He has 45 carries for 299 and 2 TDs, along with 6 catches for 71 yards, so he is more a threat out of the backfield.  
And like the Hawks, the Terps are using a 3 headed tailback attack, the 3rd is Fleet-Davis, #34, a sophomore.  He has 46 for 231, 3 TDs, and 3 catches for 41 yards, so also a threat out of the backfield.

And catching about half those passes, senior Jacobs, #12.  He has 14 for 160 with 2 TDs.  He is 5’11 170, so not big by wideout standards.

Then there is Turner, #1, a junior.  He has 13 snags for 159, and 1 TD.  He is 5’9 and 203.

There leading tight end is just a freshman with 2 catches, so once again, a defense not used to playing against a legit tight end attack.  Good luck on that one Terps.

What the Terps like to do is get the ground game going, then let the young QB try his luck as the defense has to hedge to stop the run.  Of course, the Terps have not played a running defense like the one Iowa has yet.  

And if the Hawks can do the usual and take away the Terp running game, will it will be open season on the young QB, both by the D line, and the back 7 looking to snag those errant passes.

What do the season to date stats tell us?

Well they only concert 36.4% of their 3rd downs, with is 9th and 95th.  

There turnover margin is currently +9, largely on the back of the 5 picks against Rutgers.  Hawks must protect the ball this week.

Their kickoff return defense is 22.43 yards,  12th and 95th, and guess who now leads the nation in kickoff return yards?  Yup, Iowa.  How bout we take one back this week boys.

And they allow 10.13 yards per punt return, which tells me the first man is usually missing the return man, and that can open things up for some huge returns.  One to the house here would be nice indeed.

And total passing offense - 120.5.  14th, and 124th overall (129 teams in FBS this season).  So if the Hawks can take away the running game, it could get ugly quickly.  

And time of possession, 28:35 - 12th and 91st.  If the script holds and the Iowa D takes away the running game, while the Iowa offense gets our own running game going to over 200, and that could look like 38:00 to 22:00 for Iowa.  

The Hawkeye defense holds the Terps to just a net of 85 on the ground, as the Iowa tailbacks rack up 220 on the ground.  Nate tosses 4 more TDs to bring his total to 19 on the season, as Iowa starts quickly again and just tees off on the young Maryland QB to the tune of 6 sacks and 4 pics.  Hawkeyes 51, Terrapins 17.


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