November 16, 2017

The Eternal Season - Sedge's 2017 Iowa Football Game Notes, Week 12: Boilermakers @ Hawkeyes

Sedge's Hawkeye Football Game Notes - 2017 Edition

Iowa’s Record: 6-4, 3-4 Big Ten, 2-2 B1G West 
Iowa’s Rankings:
AP: 25 votes
Coaches: 16 votes
College Football Playoff:
*Times Eastern

September 2nd, v. Wyoming, WIN 24-3
September 9th, @ Iowa State, WIN 44-41 OT
September 16th, v. North Texas, WIN 31-14
September 23rd, v. Penn State, Loss 21-19
September 30th,  @ Michigan State, Loss 17-10
October 7th, v. •Illinois, WIN 45-16
October 15th, Bye Week
October 21st, @ •Northwestern, Loss 17-10 OT
October 28th, v. •Minnesota, WIN 17-10
November 4th, v. Ohio State, WIN 55-24
November 11th, @ •Wisconsin, Loss 38-14
November 18th, v. •Purdue, 3:40 pm, BTN
November 24th, @ •Nebraska, 4:00 pm, FS1 Black Friday

•Big Ten West Division Game

December 2nd, Big Ten Championship Game
Lucas Oil Arena, Indianapolis  

Scouting next opponent
November 18th, Nebraska @ Penn State, 4:00 pm, FS1

*Wondering which BTN channel we are on? Click, enter, find.
November 18th, 2017: Iowa Hawkeyes v Purdue Boilermakers, 4-6, 2-5 Big Ten, 2-3 B1G West
Previous Meetings: 87, Iowa leads 46-38-3
Last Meeting: 2016, Hawkeyes 49, Boilermakers 35

Kinnick Color of the Week:

Current Line: Iowa -9.5

Turnover Margin: +3,  B1G #4 FBS #43

Interceptions: 16, B1G #1, FBS #3

Hawkeye Stat Pack - 2017 Through Week 11
Total   332.0  Pass 200.6  Rush 131.4  Scoring 26.9
B1G    #12           #8                #11                 #7
FBS    #115     #85              #102               #80
Total   370.3  Pass 213.0 Rush 157.3     Scoring 20.1
B1G    #9             #9              #10                 #5
FBS    #45           #55            #58                #24

Wisconsin   10-0, 7-0 B1G, 5-0 B1G West
Northwestern   7-3, 5-2 B1G, 3-1 B1G West
Iowa                         6-4, 3-4 B1G, 2-2 B1G West
Nebraska             4-6, 3-4 B1G, 2-3 B1G West
Minnesota     5-5, 2-5 B1G, 2-2 B1G West
Purdue             4-6, 4-5 B1G, 2-3 B1G West
Illinois             2-8, 0-7 B1G, 0-5 B1G West
WEEK 11: Badgers

Well, that was one for the ages all right.  That is, the 66 net yards the offense got, the worst single game in the 19 years of the Ferentz era.

While the defense was tossing in two more pick-sixes (both by Jackson, again one of your national Defensive Players of the Week), the Iowa offense tossed in 3 turnovers and at least 6 drops, basically the complete opposite of what they did against Ohio State.  

If we had known that the Iowa defense would toss in two more touchdowns (the Hawkeye defense now has 4 tds this season, 2nd best in the B1G, and 5th best in college football),  you would have figured that Iowa could have won this game by about 10 points.

And the way the game changed - with 7:20 in the 3rd, Iowa got the ball back at our own 20 yard line, trailing 17-14.  After two plays, Iowa had a 1st down at the 30.  And from there, Nate ran play action, had Fant with about two yards behind the defender down the near hash, and the pass bounced off Fant’s hands and to the turf.  If caught, a 70 yard touchdown and Iowa 21-17 lead - but two plays later, Daniels the Younger snapped the ball before Nate was ready, and in the scramble for the ball, Wisconsin picked it up and scored - making the game 24-14, when just two plays before it should have been Iowa ahead 21-17.  And the Iowa offense never recovered.

So, with two weeks to go, Iowa sits at 6-4 - now looking to send the seniors out with style by defeating Our Rival again, while regaining the swagger they had the last time they were in Kinnick.

WEEK 12: Our Rival

Purdue is in danger of missing a bowl game (again), with just 4 wins as they come to Kinnick. I don’t think the Hawks are going to let them think they have a chance to get to six wins from the time the puck drops.

How did Purdue get to this point?

They opened the 2017 campaign by playing Louisville in Indianapolis, Louisville of course featuring the defending Heisman Trophy winning Lamar Jackson at quarterback.

And this was a noteworthy game as Purdue’s new coach was Jeff Brohm, former Louisville QB and assistant coach.   

This was a very back and forth game, Purdue actually led the 15th ranked Cardinals 3 times, there were 4 turnovers by Louisville and 3 by Purdue, and in the end, Jackson drove the Cardinals to two 4th quarter touchdowns to send the Cardinals to a 35-28 win.

A week later, Brohm got his first win, as Purdue had little trouble with Ohio U, 44-21.

Then in week 3, they went to Missouri for a Big 10 SEC showdown, and they did the B1G proud, dominating the Paper Tigers 35-3.  Purdue was 2-1 entering the B1G slate.

To open the conference, they traveled to face then 8th ranked Michigan.

Purdue actually had a 10-7 lead at the half, but Michigan recovered to win it 28-10.  

Then Our Rival hosted the Golden Rodents, this one of those October games that was impacted by large thunder storms rolling through the midwest.  Late in the 4th, Our Rival got a pick-six of their own to defeat the Golden Rodents 31-17.  Brohm had his 1st Big 10 win.

They then lost 17-9 to the Badgers, despite the Badgers gifting Purdue 3 turnovers.  Sounds familiar.  

And then - they went to Rutgers.  This, a bit of a snoozer of a game, that got exciting in the final minute.  That is when Purdue scored to make the score 14-12 Rutgers, but Purdue could not execute the 2 point conversion, and that gave the Knights a 14-12 win.  This marked the 1st two game Big 10 winning streak for Rutgers since joining the league in 2014.

Purdue now hosted Nebraska.  Surprise, as the 4th quarter started, Purdue had a 24-12 lead.

But Nebraska would score a td with 11 minutes left to make it 24-19, and the Cornhusker defense did not allow Purdue to score any more points in the 4th.  The Husker defense got the ball back to their offense with 1:42 left in the 4th quarter, at the Nebraska 30.

As the Huskers moved down the field, they would only face one 3rd down - that, from the Purdue 13 yard line - where the Huskers would score to take a 25-24 lead, then fail on the two point conversion.  This with 25 seconds left.

Purdue would run two plays and get the ball to the Husker 44, but the clock ran out, and Nebraska had escaped with a 25-24 win.  

Off that 3 game losing streak they hosted Illinois.

This, a relatively easy 29-10 win.  

Then last week, it was Our Rival at the MIldcats.  The Mildcats would have the 1st four scores to lead 20-0, and Purdue could only manage 13 points, losing 23-13.

That got them to their current 4-6.  Now let’s take a look at their key players.

They have used a couple QBs, but of late, it has been sophomore Sindelar, #2.  He is 117 of 210, for 1,313 yards, with 9 tds and 6 interceptions.  He has been sacked 10 times.

He is way in the hole for rushing yards, at 6’4 230, his job is to sling the ball down the field.

His top wideout is a freshman, Anthrop, #33.  He is 5’11, 185.  He has 37 catches for 353 yards, and 5 tds. This wideout has rushed the ball 6 times, but only for a net of 6 yards.

The top tailback is Knox, #1, a junior.  He is 5’7 210, so a small, quick tailback.  He has 70 carries for 409 yards, and 1 td, and 9 catches for 100 yards, and one more td.

So per usual, it will be the goal of the Iowa defense to take away this running attack, and then continue our Big 10, and #3 FBS lead in interceptions.  Maybe another pick-six or two by Jackson.

What do the stats tell us about Purdue?

Of note about their special teams - they only average 3.24 yards per punt return, good for 13th Big Ten and 123rd overall.

On the flip side, punt return defense - 12.88 yards per return, is last in the Big 10 and 113th overall.  Yes, our punt return team has had issues all season, but maybe Meercat can bring one back this week?

Also, you could describe their passing attack as dink and dunk, averaging just 11.15 yards per completion, good for 10th and 109th.  Of note, Jackson does seem to excel at defending those quick passes - be aware Purdue QB.

They allow just short of 140 yards per game on the ground….please Iowa, get the running game going to a 200 yard plus total this week.

Also, they are dead last, and 126th, in kickoff return average, at 16.64.  How about a kickoff turnover, Iowa kick coverage team?

I think the Hawks will want to send out our seniors with a win like we last had in Kinnick.  Goodbye to our linebackers, Wadley, and all the others, thank you for your contribution to Iowa football.  

Hawkeyes 48, Purdue 17.



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