November 3, 2016

The Eternal Season - Sedge's 2016 Iowa Football Game Notes, Week 10: Hawkeyes @ Nittany Lions

Sedge's Hawkeye Football Game Notes - 2016 Edition
Iowa’s Record: 5-3, 3-2 Big Ten, 2-2 B1G West 
Iowa’s Rankings:
College Football Playoff:
*Times Eastern

September 3rd, v. Miami (Ohio), WIN 45-21
September 10th, v. Iowa State, WIN 42-3
September 17th, v. North Dakota State, Loss 23-21
September 24th, @ Rutgers, WIN 14-7
October 1st, v. •Northwestern, Loss 38-31
October 8th, @ Minnesota, WIN 14-7
October 15th, @ •Purdue, WIN 49-35
October 22nd, v. •Wisconsin, Loss 17-9
October 29th, Bye Week
November 5th, @ Penn State, 7:30 pm, BTN
November 12th, v. Michigan, 8:00 pm, ABC
November 19th, @ •Illinois, TBD
November 25th, v. •Nebraska, TBD

•Big Ten West Division Game

December 3rd, Big Ten Title Game, 8:00 pm, FOX

Scouting next opponent: Week 10
Maryland @ Michigan 3:30 pm, ESPN

*Wondering which BTN channel we are on? Click, enter, find.
November 5th, 2016  Iowa @ #20 Penn State Nittany Lions, 6-2, 4-1 Big Ten, 2-1 B1G East
Previous Meetings: 25, Lions lead 13-23
Last Meeting: 2012, Lions 38, Hawkeyes 14

Kinnick Color of the Week:

Current Line: Iowa +7

Turnover Margin: +7,  B1G #3, FBS #12

Interceptions: 5, B1G #12, FBS #88

Current Week 2 Deep:

Hawkeye Stat Pack - 2016
Total   348.1  Pass 180.3  Rush 167.9  Scoring 28.1
B1G    #12           #10               #9                    #7
FBS    #113    #107            #72                   #74
Total   377.4  Pass 223.6  Rush 153.8    Scoring 18.9
B1G    #6               #12              #7                 #5
FBS    #44             #60              #54               #16

Nebraska             7-1, 4-1 B1G, 3-1 B1G West
Minnesota     6-2, 3-2 B1G, 1-1 B1G West
Wisconsin   6-2, 3-2 B1G, 2-0 B1G West
Iowa                         5-3, 3-2 B1G, 2-2 B1G West
Northwestern   4-4, 3-2 B1G, 1-1 B1G West
Purdue             3-5, 1-4 B1G, 1-3 B1G West
Illinois             2-6, 1-4 B1G, 0-3 B1G West
 Week 8: Badgers

Well, the team that is good enough to win a school record 9 consecutive road games has now lost the last 3 games played in Kinnick.  Hard to figure out what is going to happen over these last 4 games.

At least coming out of the bye week, we have our starting O line back, and we have Kittle back starting at tight end.  Let’s hope with the bye week C.J. and has receiving group have relentlessly worked on the routes and timing.  And the Iowa coaches have been able to dream up some ways of changing up our sluggish offense just a bit.  

So the Hawks go back on the road, under the lights, for another Penn State white out. As it was in 2009.  Please someone, block a punt.

Week 10: Lions

Obviously, it’s been quite a roller coaster there in Happy Valley over the past few years.  This year, the team is back at the full FBS 85 scholarships, so they seem to be finding their footing again.

Of course, they play in the Big Ten East, along with Michigan and Ohio State. Seems like the Lions will be challenged to win the East most years.  

In the non-con season, the Lions opened with Kent State, and this was pretty easy, 33-13.

In week 2, the Lions traveled to the Steel City to play the Pitt Panthers.  This was an entertaining game, with Pitt jumping out to a 28-14 lead at the half.  They continued to push that lead to 35-21 at the end of the 3rd, and Pitt would get one more score in the 4th to hold off the Lions, 42-39.  4 turnovers and only 24 minutes of possession in that one for the Lion offense.  

For week 3, Temple came to Happy Valley, where they beat the Lions in 2015.  This was another close game, but Penn State was able to hang on for the 34-27 win.  3 more turnovers for the Lions though helped keep that game close.

Then to open the Big Ten, the Lions went to the Big House.  At the end of 1 quarter, 14-0 Wolverines
At half, 28-0 Wolverines.  And so it went, Michigan with an easy 49-10 victory to start the Lions at 0-1 Big Ten.  2 more turnovers in this one, and Michigan had 25 1st downs to Penn State’s 12.

Then of course, the win over the Rodents in OT, 29-26. 

Then Maryland came to Happy Valley, and the Lions had little trouble with them, 38-14.

Two weeks ago, the then 2nd ranked Buckeyes came calling.  This was quite a game, OSU lead it 12-7 at the half (two long OSU drives died in the red zone, and they missed the PAT on their td in the 2nd quarter).  At the end of the 3rd it was 21-7 Buckeyes, the final two points coming on a safety on a failed PSU punt that went over the punter’s head and into the end zone.  PSU punting issues with Iowa coming up…

But then early in the 4th, Penn State scored a td to make it 21-14, they got a field goal at the 9:33 mark to make it 21-17, and then at the 4:27 mark, Ohio State lined up for a 44 yard field goal to make the lead 24-17.  Then this happened…

Ohio State would get as far as their 42 on the subsequent drive, but Penn State stuffed them with back to back sacks on 3rd and 4th down to seal the 24-21 win.  There was much celebration in Happy Valley.  Of note, this was the originally scheduled white out game, the coach was so happy with the win, he requested that the Iowa game also be a white out.  Normally they only due 1 per year, so we shall see how much white is in there Saturday night.

And then last week, the Lions visited Purdue.  This was a close game, for the first 30 minutes - it was tied at 17 at halftime.  But then, PSU lead 42-24 after 3, and they scored 3 more times in the 4th for the easy 62-24 win.  Purdue tossed in 4 turnovers to make it easier for the Lions.

Now leading the Lion offense is #9, McSorely, a sophomore.  He is 123 for 223 for 1818 yards, with 12 tds, 3 interceptions, and he has been sacked 16 times.  He is a capable runner from the pocket, against OSU he went for 63 yards, Maryland 81.  So the Hawks must be ready to contain him when they get into the backfield.  

Their top tailback and biggest threat is Barkley, #26, and also a sophomore. He is a 5’11, 223 lb back, very strong and also quick.  He has 147 carries for 888 yards, that is 6.0 per, with 10 rushing tds.   Also has 14 catches for 213 yards with  1 td.  The Iowa rush defense has picked up, it will be key this week to slow down the Lion rush attack, and make the young QB try to beat us with his arm.

Godwin, #12, a junior, is the top receiver.  He has 30 catches for 422 yards, and 5 tds.  By comparison, that is how many catches McCarron has at this point.  We will see if Iowa moves King around to cover Godwin, or we just match up depending on where he is in the formation.  

In special teams, the Lion placekicker has missed just one field goal this year, (13 of 14), so that won’t likely help.  

Some other interesting stats.  Penn State 3rd down conversion percentage, offense - 25.3%.  14th in the B1G, dead last (128) in FBS.  Opportunity for the Hawkeye defense to get off the field.

They have lost 9 fumbles this year, 13th in the B1G, 117th overall.  

Net punting, 35.6, 9th and 99th. Maybe this week for King?  He is getting close to bringing a punt/kick back, this week would be a perfect time to take one to the house.  

Tackles for loss, allowed.  6.75 per game. 13th, 101st.  So the D line and linebackers will have their chances, they must get those tackles when they can.  Force the young QB into must-pass downs.

On the Iowa side, it was actually Wadley who had the most catches against the Badgers, with 7, and Iowa may be using him in the slot some to get he and Jr onto the field at the same time.  

Maybe this week we will see King line up for a couple plays on the offense side.  We just need to get playmakers the ball, anything should be on the table.  

And there is this!  The last 4 times Iowa has faced a ranked Penn State team, we have won!  The Lions are #20 this week.  

This team just likes those road games, C.J. passes for 210 and RUNS for 65, the Iowa tailbacks hit the 200 yard mark combined, and the Iowa D holds Barkley to 70 yards on the ground.  Once again, the Hawkeye fans there in Happy Valley will be chanting ‘we own Penn State.’  Hawks 30, Lions 21.



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