October 6, 2016

The Eternal Season - Sedge's 2016 Iowa Football Game Notes, Week 6: Hawks @ Golden Rodents - The Battle For Floyd

Sedge's Hawkeye Football Game Notes - 2016 Edition
Iowa’s Record: 3-2, 1-1 Big Ten, 0-1 B1G West 
Iowa’s Rankings:
College Football Playoff:
*Times Eastern

September 3rd, v. Miami (Ohio), WIN 45-21
September 10th, v. Iowa State, WIN 42-3
September 17th, v. North Dakota State, Loss 23-21
September 24th, @ Rutgers, WIN 14-7
October 1st, v. •Northwestern, Loss 38-31
October 8th, @ Minnesota, 12:00 pm, ESPN2
October 15th, @ •Purdue, 12:00 pm, TBD
October 22nd, v. •Wisconsin, TBD
October 29th, Bye Week
November 5th, @ Penn State, 7:30 pm, BTN
November 12th, v. Michigan, 8:00 pm, ABC/ESPN2
November 19th, @ •Illinois, TBD
November 25th, v. •Nebraska, TBD

•Big Ten West Division Game

December 3rd, Big Ten Title Game, 8:00 pm, FOX

Scouting next opponent: Week 6
Purdue @ Illinois, 3:30 pm, ESPN

*Wondering which BTN channel we are on? Click, enter, find.
October 8th, 2016  Iowa @ Minnesota Golden Rodents, 3-1, 0-1 Big Ten, 0-0 B1G West
Previous Meetings: 109, Rodents lead 66-45-2
Last Meeting: 2015, Rodents 

Kinnick Color of the Week:

Current Line: Iowa -1.5

Turnover Margin: +5,  B1G #3, FBS #16

Interceptions: 2, B1G #13, FBS #103

Current Week 2 Deep:

Hawkeye Stat Pack - 2016
Total   341.6  Pass 198.4  Rush 143.2  Scoring 30.6
B1G    #13           #12               #11                   #6
FBS    #110         #96               #95                  #53
Total   364.6  Pass 181.8  Rush 182.8    Scoring 18.4
B1G    #7               #3                  #11                 #6
FBS    #45             #21                #87                 #21
Big Ten West Standings: 
Nebraska     5-0, 2-0 B1G, 2-0 B1G West
Wisconsin   4-1, 1-1 B1G, 0-0 B1G West
Iowa                 3-2, 1-1 B1G, 0-1 B1G West
Northwestern   2-3, 1-1 B1G, 1-1 B1G West
Minnesota   3-1, 0-1 B1G, 0-0 B1G West
Purdue     2-2, 0-1 B1G, 0-0 B1G West
Illinois     1-3, 0-1 B1G, 0-1 B1G West
 Week 5: Mildcats

So the Hawks have now lost the last two games played in Kinnick. Generally you would think that if the Iowa offense could put up 31 points we would be ok, but that was not the case last week. 

Again, too many rushing yards allowed.  The Outlaw had 16 tackles, but he can’t do it all himself.  Likewise King, who was not covering Carr on any of his 3 touchdown receptions.  That is more on the Iowa coaches, who are not using him across the field as a true shutdown corner should be used.

And the defense needs to also tackle.  On one of the Mildcats touchdowns, the Iowa defender just bounced of their tight end at the 10 yard line, and he walked into the end zone.  No attempt to wrap up and drop made by the defender.  
Yes, that was the worst officiated game I have seen by a Big Ten group in several years.  The non pass interference call, the non call on the C.J. facemask takedown (that play looked very similar to the non-facemask call on Stanzi in the Mildcat game of 2009, the play that injured Stanzi and likely derailed our undefeated 2009 season).  Sure the Hawks committed too many mistakes and penalties, but both of those blown calls occurred with the Hawks on the Mildcat side of the field.  We lost by 7 points.  Also of note, the Hawks have now played 3 straight games where the opposing offensive lines have not had a single holding call.  Thrown or called, that is, we have been able to see plenty of examples of holding ourselves watching the games.  

And there is some question on C.J.’s health this week, against the Cats he was sacked 6 times, and never really was able to do anything with his feet.  This a week after Northwestern gave up 132 rushing yards to Nebraska’s QB.  

If you are reading the Iowa message boards, you get the sense that the season is already lost, that the Hawks might be lucky to get to the needed 6 wins for a bowl game.  

I’m not ready to quit driving the bandwagon myself, but if they can’t find the focus in the back to back road games looming, we may have to rethink.
In the meantime, let’s see if the old bowling wall can work.  Flush the last 3 games, and come out strong against the Rodents.

Week 6: Rodents

The battle for Floyd has arrived.  

He has enjoyed being in Iowa City for the past year with his 3 other trophy cousins.  He really does not want to spend another winter in the Twin Cities any time soon.

Le’t take a look at the Rodents, to see what the Hawks will be facing at Noon on Saturday.  

For their non conference slate, they went on a tour of State schools.

They opened by hosting Oregon State.  This, a close game, and the Rodents actually had 3 starters kicked out of the game for targeting penalties.  But the Rodents would get 13 4th quarter points to lead, and then hung on for the 30-23 victory.  

In week 2, Indiana State came to visit, and the Rodents scored 14 points in the 1st quarter, and 24 points in the 2nd, and cruised to a 58-28 victory.  The Rodents then had a bye week.

Then in week 4, Colorado State came to visit the Rodents.  This was a close game, but the Rodents were able to wear down the Rams and hold on for a 31-24 win.  They were 3-0, and then they went on the road to Happy Valley to open the Big 10.

The Rodents started well in this one, leading 13-3 at the half. But early in the 3rd quarter, PSU found an 80 yard td pass, and that lead them to 17 3rd quarter points, to lead the game 20-13 as it entered the 4th.

Here, at the 13:29 mark, the Rodents got a 37 yard field goal to tie the game at 20.

Not much happened then until their were 54 seconds left in the game, when the Rodents kicked another 37 field goal to take a 23-20 lead.

But the Lions then drove the ball 53 yards in 8 plays, and with 2 seconds left, they kicked a 40 yard field goal to force overtime.  

The Rodents had the ball first, and they were only able to get a field goal of 46 yards, to lead 26-26.

Now it was Penn State’s turn.  On 1st down, tried to run, stuffed, no gain.  2nd down, same result.  Facing a 3rd and 10, they ran the read/option, a huge hole opened up in the Rodent defense, and the Lion tailback took it 25 yards for the score and the PSU 29-26 win.  

Here is the play (after the Coke commercial) http://www.espn.com/college-football/game?gameId=400869666

That left the Rodents at 0-1 in the Big Ten, and the returned home to prepare for the Hawkeyes.  

The offense is again lead by now senior QB Leidner, who we know well.  To date 73 out of 116 passes, for 840 yards, with 5 tds, 2 interceptions, and 3 sacks.  He has rushed for as many as 76 yards in the opening game, but against PSU he only managed 7 yards on 6 rushes.

The Rodents do have a new OC this year, and they are going to run more read/option and spread type plays, less of the more pro style of the past.  But they are still running the ball.

The top running back, Smith, #1, a sophomore, with 82 carries for 402 yards, and 5 touchdowns. He also has 7 catches for 70 yards.

But they also have sophomore Brooks, #23, who did not play in the first two games, but he has racked up 185 yards on 27 carries in the last two. So we are going to see both tailbacks.  And let’s hope the Iowa D line has better success stopping the running game.

The top pass catchers are Wolitarsky, #82, a senior wideout, with 24 catches for 321 yards, with 3 tds.

And then Smith, #26, a junior, with 13 catches for 185 yards 1 touchdown. 

The top tight end is Wozniak, with 7 catches for 83 yards.  Unlike Kittle though, no touchdowns yet.

Look for the Rodents to try and get their run game going, through some read/option, more traditional handoffs, flips, etc.  If the Hawks can flip the script of late and make the running game bog down, I think we can snag a couple of those Leidner passes.

And we will see if the Iowa O line looks more like the first two games than they did last week.  And if another week of practice without First Down has allowed C.J. and his receivers to find some more downfield opportunities.  We also have to figure that Wadley and Jr are ticked to seeing other schools out rush their totals, so hopefully Kirk will figure who has the hot hand to start and ride them as far as they can go.

Well King came 5 yards short from brining a punt back last week.  This is the kind of game where special teams could play a major role.  Let’s do it this week Desmond.  

Weather for Saturday in the Twin Cities - low 50s for the high.  Should not play a factor.

Floyd is the oldest trophy that the Hawks play for.  After 3 weeks of funk, they realize their dream of another Big Ten West title is at risk.  I think they will respond.

Iowa rushes for 245, and holds the Rodents to 120 net.  King and Wadley pick off Rodent passes, and Iowa holds the ball for 35 minutes.  Floyd stays in Iowa City for another year, Hawkeyes 31, Rodents 20.



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